Miami Dolphins @ Cincinnati Bengals – Week 4 TNF Picks & Betting Preview (2022-23 Season)

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The Miami Dolphins travel to Cincinnati to take on the Bengals on Thursday Night Football in Week 4.
The Dolphins come into the game as one of only two undefeated teams remaining in the NFL following a hard-fought 21-19 victory over their division rival Buffalo Bills this past Sunday.

The Bengals come into the game with a record of 1-2 as they got into the win column for the first time this season with a win at the New York Jets 27-12.

  • Time: Thursday, September 29, 2022, at 8:15 PM ET
  • TV: Amazon Prime
  • Game Location: Paycor Stadium Cincinnati, OH
  • Weather: Clear, light winds with temperatures in the mid to upper 50s
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Best Bet for Miami Dolphins @ Cincinnati Bengals Week 4 TNF

The biggest question mark coming into this game is the health of the Miami Dolphins. They suffered some key injuries last week and will not have a lot of time to get the players healthy on a short week with travel involved.

Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa missed a portion of the game against the Bills dealing with a back injury. He was a limited participant in the only real practice the Dolphins had this week on Tuesday. Even if Tagovailoa plays he will not be at 100% health and that has to be a major concern for the Dolphins.

The Bengals have a top 10 rushing defense, so passing is clearly going to big part of the Dolphins' game plan.

Bengals QB Joe Burrow got his season on track in Week 3 against the Jets, he threw for three touchdowns and most importantly did not throw an interception, after throwing four picks in the first two weeks of the season. 

Burrow should continue to have success against the Dolphins pass defense, which ranks 2nd worst in the league, allowing nearly 300 yards per game and 6 passing touchdowns in the first 3 weeks.

Bengals WR Ja’Maar Chase has the perfect matchup to get back on track after a quiet week last week where he only caught 6 passes for a total of 29 yards.

The line for this one opened at Bengals -1.5 points but was quickly bet up over the key number of 3 following the Tagovailoa injury news. 

The best number against the spread for the Bengals is gone, if it were to drop back below -3, the Bengals would also be worth a play ATS.

The Bengals are the healthier team heading into this one and it is a short week with travel for Miami. The matchup in the passing game is a major advantage for the Bengals who will find a way to pull out their first home win of the season Thursday night.


Dolphins @ Bengals Week 4 TNF Prop Picks

Prop Bet 1: QB Joe Burrow over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-162) at FanDuel Sportsbook

The Dolphins have given up 6 touchdown passes in 3 games. They have major issues in the secondary and will continue to be without cornerback Byron Jones as he recovers from an ankle injury and CB Xavien Howard is likely to play but is battling a groin injury. With all the weapons Burrow has at his disposal, getting 2 touchdowns against one of the worst pass defenses in the league is not a big ask. 

Prop Bet 2: WR Tee Higgins over 62.5 receiving yards (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Tee Higgins is averaging over 6 targets and 4 catches per game this season and has been over 62.5 yards his last two games. Facing an already weak Dolphins secondary that will be focusing heavily on stopping Ja’Maar Chase, Higgins will have plenty opportunities to grab catches and yards in this one. 

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Rob O'Connor

Rob O’Connor is a veteran sports handicapper. He broke into the industry in 2002 and has continued to provide his clients with high quality sports handicapping advice ever since. He is currently a handicapper with Rob Veno Sports and prior to that ran his own sports handicapping service. Rob has been featured on ESPN Radio as well as on his hometown sports station WIP out of Philadelphia. Rob O'Connor handicaps the NFL, College Football, College Basketball, and Major League Baseball.