NFL Week 13 Picks – Sunday Best Bets

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We had a rough week last week, going 2-5 on our Sunday Best Bets. Let's see if we can keep turn it around in Week 13 with some more spread and total picks from our team of experts.

Below you'll find our picks for the best bets to make on Sunday of Week 13 of the NFL season. Remember, you can always compare NFL lines and odds by sportsbooks here.

Sunday Best Bets Season Record: 55-41-2 (+13.79 units)

Best Sunday Bets – NFL Week 13 Picks

Houston Texans +7 vs Cleveland Browns – 4:05 pm

Rob O'Connor
Rob O'Connor

Rob O’Connor is a veteran sports handicapper. He broke into the industry in 2002 and has continued to provide high quality sports handicapping advice ever since.

The Texans may be 1-9-1 but they are a much more respectable 4-6-1 against the spread.

And there is no doubt about it, this game is the Texans' Super Bowl, so to speak. They want nothing more than to beat Deshaun Watson in his return from suspension and to Houston after sitting an entire season and demanding a trade from the franchise in 2021.

Watson has not played competitive football since 2020. Now in his first game, back you have his team laying 7 on the road. It is just too much. He will clearly be rusty and will likely struggle in game one to live up to the expectations that have been set for him.

The Browns run defense should allow Texans RB Dameon Pierce to have some success on the ground and take some pressure off Kyle Allen, who should continue to improve as he gets more reps and settles into the starting QB role.

The Texans run defense is the worst in the league, so the Browns will establish the run to keep the pressure off Watson as much as possible. With both teams looking to run, this shouldn’t be a game with a ton of points, which will help the Texans keep it close.

There are a few trends working against the Browns. They are 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 as favorites and they are 1-9 against the spread in their last 10 against the Texans.

Play Houston at +7 or better Sunday.

Chicago Bears +3.5 vs Green Bay Packers – 1 pm

Ernie Horn
Ernie Horn

Ernie Horn is a veteran newspaper writer with 25 years of experience. As a bettor, Ernie has exceeded 60% of his predictions over the past three years.

After dismantling the Chicago Bears in their previous meeting this season, the Green Bay Packers look to return to the win column this week in their visit to Soldier Field Sunday.

Green Bay, however, is not the same team that earned the Week 2 victory over their NFC North rivals. Injuries have derailed the Packers' season, and multiple issues this week—including OT David Bakhtiari (appendectomy) and S Darnell Savage (foot)—will further deplete the roster.

Chicago, conversely, has shown signs of improvement since its previous meeting. The Bears have developed into the NFL’s best rushing offense thanks to dual-threat QB Justin Fields. The second-year signal caller is seventh in the league in rushing—the highest QB among the group—by amassing 834 yards and seven TDs on the ground.

Expect Chicago to emerge victorious this weekend behind their running attack and win over Green Bay.

Washington Commanders @ New York Giants UNDER 40.5 – 1 pm

Kyler Wolff
Kyler Wolff

Kyler Wolff is a sports writer with a passion for football & statistical analysis. He uses his knowledge of the game and ability to break down stats to make the best picks.

Both the Giants and the Commanders have been a good bet to go under the total this season. The Giants are 7-4 in favor of the under and the Commanders are 8-4 for the under.

Both teams' play styles are both defense centric, they run the ball very well and win the time of possession game most times.

The Giants score 20.5 points per game on average and give up 21.1 points per game. The Commanders score 19.4 points per game and give up 19.7 points per game.

They would both have to play above average offensively compared to defensively, and I don’t see that happening with key offensive players like Darius Slayton, Antonio Gibson, and Logan Thomas all banged up and the chance that both Chase Young and Leonard Williams come back this week after stints on the IR.

Los Angeles Rams +7 vs Seattle Seahawks – 4:05 pm (Competing Picks)

Rob O'Connor
Rob O'Connor

Rob O’Connor is a veteran sports handicapper. He broke into the industry in 2002 and has continued to provide high quality sports handicapping advice ever since.

The Rams have not looked good this year, especially on offense, but they have a chance to try and get something going against Seattle, which has one of the worst defenses in the league allowing 388.7 yards per game and 25.5 points per game.

The Rams will go with John Wolford at QB and Bryce Perkins may also see some playing time.

Seattle has the 4th worst rushing defense in the league, so the QBs for the Rams should not be asked to do too much.

The Rams defense continues to be the one bright spots. They held Kansas City to two touchdowns last week in a 26-10 loss.

The Seahawks have not had much luck against the Rams in recent meetings, losing 8 of the last 10 games and they have not won in Los Angeles since 2017.

The Rams have only allowed 15 receiving touchdowns against the year, so they should have some luck keeping Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf in check.

Also, the Seahawks did not have the best practice week, as illness was running through the locker room.

The Rams may be beaten up, but in a game against a division rival look for their absolute best effort, especially at home. With the Rams getting a full touchdown, they are the play at home Sunday afternoon.

Tennessee Titans +4.5 @ Philadelphia Eagles – 1 pm

Kyler Wolff
Kyler Wolff

Kyler Wolff is a sports writer with a passion for football & statistical analysis. He uses his knowledge of the game and ability to break down stats to make the best picks.

Despite being 10-1 and holding the number one seed in the NFC playoff picture, The Eagles are far from unbeatable, especially lately.

The month of November was not the strength-affirming month the Eagles had hoped. Starting with a gimme game against the Texans that ended up being a lot more competitive than anticipated. It gave us a glimpse of what was to come for the following week as the Commanders came into town and upset the then-undefeated Eagles by a good margin.

Next, Philly flew down to Indianapolis to try and stomp a struggling Colts team only to narrowly escape with a one-point victory in a tough game.

Finally, we get to last week, and it was a pure shootout with the Packers which resulted in a seven-point Eagles victory and a whole lot of unanswered questions on defense.

This brings us to Sunday, when the Titans come up to Philadelphia to try and expose the flaws we saw last month. It won’t be an easy accomplishment, but the Titans have an advantageous matchup with Derrick Henry against the Eagles defense which gives up 4.7 yards per carry.

The biggest question of this game is whether the Titans can step up and actually compete against a top team. We have not seen the Titans succeed against good teams this season, in fact, they haven’t won a single game against an opponent with a winning record this season.

They have, however, kept it close against these teams, losing to the Chiefs and Giants by only three and to the Bengals last week by four. I think that pattern will stick with the Eagles only winning by only three.

Cleveland Browns -7 @ Houston Texans – 1 pm

Ernie Horn
Ernie Horn

Ernie Horn is a veteran newspaper writer with 25 years of experience. As a bettor, Ernie has exceeded 60% of his predictions over the past three years.

In one of the most-anticipated matchups you’ll find between teams with a combined five wins this late in the season, Deshaun Watson leads the Cleveland Browns (4-7) back into Houston (1-9-1) to face the Texans squad he previously played for on Sunday.

While all eyes will be on Watson, Houston will prepare more for the NFL’s third-leading rusher in Nick Chubb. The Browns RB has 1,039 yards thus far and a league-best 12 rushing TDs to his credit. Should Watson struggle in his return, Jacoby Brissett is more than capable of filling the role.

Houston again will look to QB Kyle Allen in what remains of this team’s dumpster fire of a season. The Texans – who are geared toward earning the overall first pick in the 2023 NFL Draft – are auditioning the fourth-year player in the backfield along with a future star in rookie RB Dameon Pierce (788 yards rushing, three TDs).

If Cleveland were relying solely on Watson, this trap game for the former Texan would be a close affair, especially considering the rust you’d expect Watson to display in his first game. But behind Chubb and company, the Browns pick up an easy double-digit victory over Houston.

Seattle Seahawks –7 @ Los Angeles Rams – 4:05 pm

Kyler Wolff
Kyler Wolff

Kyler Wolff is a sports writer with a passion for football & statistical analysis. He uses his knowledge of the game and ability to break down stats to make the best picks.

The glaring problem that has plagued the Seahawks over the last few weeks has been their absolutely abysmal defense. This shouldn’t matter much this week as they take on the shell of what was once a dangerous Rams offense, now they are anything but.

Even with this Seahawks defense that has given up 25.5 points per game, I still don’t see this Rams offense doing anything to keep pace with Geno and the Seahawks' powerful offensive game.

As it stands right now, the Rams have an offense without their starting QB Matt Stafford, starting RB Cam Akers, starting receivers Cooper Kupp and Allen Robinson, and starting O-linemen David Edwards and Joe Noteboom. Plus, three other starting linemen are questionable.

That’s a recipe for an offense that is going to struggle. They only gained 198 total yards last week, and I don’t expect them to do much better this week.

As for the Seahawks offense, they have been explosive all season and the Rams are going to be without Aaron Donald. This is a no-brainer folks, it’s a blowout in the making.

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