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After an exciting Week 1 of the NFL season, we enter the so-called “overreaction week” where sharp bettors gain an edge by ignoring the way-too-early narratives that came out of the opening week of games.
Teams have started to knock off the rust and are doing their best to either remain undefeated or make it back to .500.
Below you'll find our picks for the best bets to make on Sunday of Week 2 of the NFL season. Remember, you can always compare NFL lines and odds by sportsbooks here.
Sunday Best Bets Season Record: 5-2-0
Best Sunday Bets – NFL Week 2 Picks
- Green Bay Packers –9.5 vs. Chicago Bears (double pick)
- Bears Team Total Under 15.5 at Green Bay Packers
- Los Angeles Rams –9.5 vs. Atlanta Falcons (competing picks)
- Atlanta Falcons +10.5 at Los Angeles Rams (competing picks)
- New York Giants –1.5 & ML vs. Carolina Panthers
- NYG/CAR Under 43.5 – New York Giants vs Carolina Panthers
- New Orleans Saints +2.5 & ML vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- TB/NO Under 44.5 – Tampa Bay Bucs at New Orleans Saints
Green Bay Packers –9.5 vs. Chicago Bears (DOUBLE PICK)
The Packers are coming off a poor showing in a Week 1 loss to the Minnesota Vikings.
The offense struggled to get things going and only managed to put up 7 points.
The good news for Packers backers is they have a strong history of rebounding after a loss and they have dominated the Bears in recent seasons, so this is a perfect spot for quarterback Aaron Rodgers to get the offense back on track early in the season.
Excluding Week 18 of last season, the Packers are 11-0 straight up and against the spread following a loss. Of those 11 wins, 8 have come by double digits.
The Packers have been very impressive the last 3 seasons when playing at Lambeau Field, losing just two games while compiling a 17-7 record ATS during that time.
Rodgers has been very good against the Bears in his career, going 20-7 ATS.
Bears QB Justin Fields struggled in the bad weather during the Bears Week 1 win over the 49ers, completing less than 50% of his passes.
The weather may be better in Green Bay Sunday night, but things will not get any easier for him against a Packers defense that will be looking to rebound after a disappointing Week 1 performance.
Given the history between these two teams recently and the glaring gap in talent at the QB position, look for Green Bay to win comfortably in their home opener Sunday night.
This pick is primarily based on Aaron Rodgers owning the Bears season after season.
Rodgers is 23-5 straight up and 21-7 ATS versus Chicago all time and 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Packers are also great at Lambeau, finishing 7-2 ATS last year.
The Packers should have no problem moving the ball against the Bears, leading to an eye-opening bounce back after a lousy Week 1 in which they only put up 7 points.
Despite giving up 23 points to the Vikings in Week 1, the Packers D is one of the best in the league with CBs Jaire Alexander and Eric Stokes, DT Kenny Clark, EDGE Rashan Gary, and S Adrian Amos.
With one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL and no real playmakers at WR besides Darnell Mooney, look for the Packers to easily handle second-year QB Justin Fields and the rest of the Bears offense.
Though I'm always hesitant to take 10+ point favorites in the NFL, I'm putting my money on Rodgers to continue dominating the Bears and winning this game easily at Lambeau.
Bears Team Total UNDER 15.5 at Green Bay Packers
This bet is directly related to my first bet of the Packers –10. As mentioned above, I expect the Packers defense to show just how good they are, holding the Bears to 15 points or less.
With potential Pro Bowlers at all levels of the D—such as DT Kenny Clark, EDGE Rashan Gary, LB De'Vondre Cambell, CB Jaire Alexander, and S Adrian Amos—the Packers should have no trouble holding a Bears offense with a poor O line and not many playmakers to under their team total of 15.5 points.
On top of that, I expect Aaron Rodgers to have no trouble controlling the ball, leading to multiple long drives, giving the Bears even less opportunities to score.
Once the Pack get ahead, the two-headed monster at RB of Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon should be able to run out the clock against a Bears D that was mediocre against the run in 2021.
Take the Bears to score Under 15.5 at Lambeau.
Los Angeles Rams –9.5 vs Atlanta Falcons
The Rams did not look particularly sharp in an opening night loss to the Buffalo Bills. They managed just 10 points on offense while turning the ball over 3 times on QB Matthew Stafford's interceptions.
The Rams, however, do have a situational advantage in this one, as they have 3 extra days to prepare to face the Atlanta Falcons who are coming into this one off a disappointing loss to the New Orleans Saints 27-26. It’s not the fact that the Falcons lost, but how they lost, blowing a 26-10 lead in the 4th quarter.
The Falcons' strength is clearly running the ball as they racked up over 200 rushing yards against the Saints. They won’t find it so easy against a tough Rams rushing defense that held the Bills to just 121 yards on the ground last week.
The Falcons will have to look more towards the passing game, which is not a strong part of their offense. Other than TE Kyle Pitts and rookie WR Drake London, the Falcons have a lot of question marks about who can catch the ball.
The Falcons defense allowed 171 yards to the Saints top receivers Jarvis Landry and Michael Thomas. It does not seem likely the performance will improve against the Rams and one of the best receivers in the league Cooper Kupp.
Look for the defending Super Bowl Champs to use another home game against a weaker opponent to get back on track and set the tone for the remainder of the 2022 season.
Atlanta Falcons +10.5 at Los Angeles Rams
The Rams seriously underperformed in their opener against the Bills last Thursday. The Bills are an excellent team and perhaps even a super bowl favorite, but the performance by the defending champions last week was pretty embarrassing.
Let me be clear, though. They are still a good team, and their performance last week doesn’t mean they are set to have a losing season, they’re going to bounce back at some point this season, the question is when?
This Sunday, the Falcons descend upon SoFi Stadium to battle the Rams, in a matchup that gives the Rams a golden opportunity to declare that week one was just a fluke and that they are still a dominant presence in the NFC. They are favored by FanDuel Sportsbook to win by 10.5 points in a game some people predict will be a blowout.
The Falcons are typically looked at as an easy win for a team like the Rams. After going 7-10 last season, they decided to ship off their franchise quarterback, Matt Ryan, and go with a true “bridge quarterback” in Marcus Mariota. With Mariota at the helm and top receiver Calvin Ridley suspended for the season because of a gambling scandal, the thought going into the year was that the Falcons would be worse than they were last year.
After a very strong performance in week one against a solid Saints team which resulted in only a one-point loss for the Dirty Birds, I believe the Falcons may be a stronger team than what we thought. They combined for 201 total rushing yards as a team, their O-line didn’t give up a sack, their defense was able to hold the Saints to just a 30% third down efficiency, and rack up four sacks on Jameis Winston.
I think given the early struggles by the Rams and the strength that we saw by the Falcons last week, the Falcons should be able to keep this game close.
New York Giants –1.5 & ML vs Carolina Panthers
The Panthers and Baker Mayfield made a furious comeback against the Browns last week before falling flat with Browns K Cade York drilling the game-winning field goal for Cleveland.
Mayfield’s lone highlight was a 75-yard toss to Robbie Anderson. He finished 16 of 27 for 235 yards and threw one pick to go with the one touchdown.
The Giants are coming off a comeback of their own. They finished the job off with a two-point conversion in the final minute to pick up the big road win over Tennessee.
Saquon Barkley looked like he was making a case to win Comeback Player of the Year as he went off for 164 yards on just 18 carries and added 6 catches for 30 yards and 1 TD.
The Panthers struggled last week against the run, which could prove to be a big issue in this matchup. Barkley and the Giant’s offense will be sure to test the Panthers defensive front early and often.
- The Panthers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
- The Jets are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games against an opponent in the NFC South.
New York Giants vs Carolina Panthers UNDER 43.5
Carolina put up 24 points last week while allowing 26 to the Browns. They held the Browns to a 25% redzone scoring percentage.
The Panthers themselves scored inside the redzone at a 66.6% clip. The combined 50 points in this one last week came over the total by 8 points.
The Giants went scoreless in the 1st half against the Titans but were able to put 21 in the 2nd half. They had given up 13 to the Titans in the 1st half and were able to hold them to just a touchdown in the 2nd half. The 21-20 final finished under the total in this one.
Neither of these offenses are a threat to put up a ton of points in this matchup. The one advantage seems to be the Giants having the ability to run on the Panthers defense. That typically translates to a ball-controlled game that runs the clock more than scores points.
- Under is 12-1 in Giants last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 8-3 in Panthers last 11 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
New Orleans Saints +2.5 & ML vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay looked solid last game against the Dallas Cowboys. Leonard Fournette led the way with 127 yards on 21 carries but never found the endzone. The only player in the game between the two teams to reach paydirt was Mike Evans on a 5-yard reception from Brady. They defeated the Cowboys 19-3.
The Saints are coming off a dramatic win on the road against the rival Falcons. Jameis Winston led a comeback in the 4th quarter to outscore the Falcons 17-3 and pick up the 27-26 win. Michael Thomas picked up two scores while Jarvis Landry grabbed 7 receptions.
The public is leaning on the Bucs here and yet the line has ticked down from 3 to just 2.5. The Saints will have a more balanced attack than what the Cowboys used last week against these Bucs.
Look for the Saints to cover and pick up the win in New Orleans on Sunday.
- The Bucs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against New Orleans.
- The Saints are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss.
New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Bucs UNDER 44.5
Tampa was only able to muster a single touchdown against the Cowboys last week. Tom Brady did not look as sharp as normal and Chris Godwin getting hobbled played a role in the offense struggling.
The Bucs were also successful on defense, holding Dallas to just 3 points and effectively stifling their offense all night.
New Orleans had issues containing the Falcons on the ground. Atlanta went for a tick over 200 yards rushing and just 215 yards passing. Containing Leonard Fournette will be the top priority for this Saints defense in Week 2.
Both of these offenses showed inconsistencies last week and we believe both head coaches Todd Bowles and Dennis Allen, both former defensive coordinators, will prioritize the defense in this matchup.
- Under is 4-0 in the Saints last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-2 in the Buccaneers last 9 vs. NFC.
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