Washington Commanders @ Chicago Bears – Week 6 TNF Picks & Betting Preview

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The Washington Commanders and Chicago Bears both come in to this game under .500 and on losing streaks.

The Commanders fell to the Titans last week for their 4th consecutive loss, dropping them to 1-4 on the season. The Bears come in with consecutive losses after falling to the Vikings last week, making them 2-3 on the season.

Here's our betting preview and picks for this Week 6 TNF matchup.

  • Time: Thursday, October 13, 2022, at 8:15 PM ET
  • TV: Amazon Prime
  • Game Location: Soldier Field in Chicago, IL
  • Weather: Partly Cloudy winds 10-20 mph with temperatures falling through the 40s

Pick 1: UNDER 38 Points on BetMGM

Offense has been hard to come by for these two teams through the first five games of the season.

The Bears come in with the 6th lowest points per game at 17.2, the Commanders are right behind with the 7th fewest points per game at 18.

The Bears are allowing only 15 points per game at home.

The Bears are run-oriented team, having the worst passing offense in the entire league.

The Bears have one of the better pass defenses in the league, which could spell trouble for the Commanders and their 10th-ranked passing offense.

Given the Bears' preference to run the ball and the Commanders having to try and mix in more running plays to counteract the strong Bears pass defense this game should stay UNDER the total of 38 on Thursday night.

Chicago has gone under in 7 of their last 10 at home, while the Commanders have gone under in 6 of their last 10 overall.

Pick 2: Justin Fields UNDER 24.5 passing attempts (-135 on BetMGM)

Justin Fields is averaging only 17.6 passing attempts per game and hasn’t attempted more than 22 passes in a game this year.

He is lacking any weapons on offense at the WR position. Their leading receiver Darnell Mooney has only 10 catches on the year for 173 yards and 56 of those came on one catch.

With David Montgomery back and healthy the Bears focus will likely be on controlling the game on the ground. That should spell limited pass attempts for Fields, especially if Chicago is able to get out to an early lead.

Play Fields to throw under 24.5 passes in this one.

Pick 3: Cole Kmet OVER 2.5 Receptions (-150 at BetMGM)

In 3 of the 5 Commanders games this year they have allowed at least 3 receptions to the opposing team's top tight end.

Look for that to continue Thursday night.

The Bears' lack of playmakers at receiver has forced the offense to get Kmet more involved. He has 7 receptions over his last two games after not catching a ball in the first two Bears contests.

Look for him to continue to stay involved in the passing game this week.

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Rob O'Connor

Rob O’Connor is a veteran sports handicapper. He broke into the industry in 2002 and has continued to provide his clients with high quality sports handicapping advice ever since. He is currently a handicapper with Rob Veno Sports and prior to that ran his own sports handicapping service. Rob has been featured on ESPN Radio as well as on his hometown sports station WIP out of Philadelphia. Rob O'Connor handicaps the NFL, College Football, College Basketball, and Major League Baseball.