Baltimore Ravens @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Week 8 TNF Picks & Betting Preview (2022-23 Season)

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The Baltimore Ravens improved to 4-3 on the season with a hard-fought win against division rival Cleveland 23-20.

The Bucs, on the other hand, enter this one with a bad taste in their mouths after falling to the lowly Panthers 21-3. It dropped the Bucs to 3-4 on the season.

Here's our betting preview and picks for this Week 8 TNF matchup.

  • Time: Thursday, October 27, 2022, at 8:15 PM ET
  • TV: Amazon Prime
  • Game Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay, Florida
  • Weather: 75°, Partly cloudy with light winds

Pick 1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5 (See best odds below)

The good news for Tampa Bay and QB Tom Brady is they have a great chance to get back on track against the Baltimore pass defense which ranks toward the bottom of the league allowing over 260 yards per game through the air.

Tampa clearly has the weapons to expose this weakness with receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. There is also a possibility they will get Julio Jones back from injury for this game. The Ravens have allowed 11 passing touchdowns on the season.

Tom Brady in the home underdog role is a dangerous spot for the opposition to be in as well. He is 10-2 ATS in his career as a home underdog.

The Ravens despite the reputation of having a high-flying offense have not put up more than 23 points in 4 consecutive games now. Those struggles should continue against a Bucs team allowing only 17.7 points per game.

The home team is 4-2 since Week 2 when travel and short weeks began playing a factor in these games.

Look for Tampa to get another win for the home team on Thursday night.

Prop Pick 1: Tom Brady Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-150 on BetMGM)

As mentioned above the Baltimore offense has struggled against the pass in 2022. Tom Brady has his choice of weapons on offense and the Bucs know they will need to score some points to win.

With Baltimore having a top-10 defense against the run, Brady knows this game will be on his shoulders to exploit the Ravens' weakness in the passing game.

While Tampa has some injuries at WR, the Ravens are without starting safety Marcus Williams who is out with a wrist injury.

Look for Brady to get over 1.5 passing touchdowns easily Thursday night.

Prop Pick 2: Lamar Jackson Over 61.5 Rush Yards (-115 on BetMGM)

This number is posted over 10 yards lower than Jackson is averaging on the season. Tampa has the 6th ranked passing defense in the league but is just middle of the pack when it comes to defending the run.

The closest thing the Bucs have faced to a true running QB this year is Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes and Falcons QB Marcus Mariota. Mahomes rushed for 34 yards on just 4 attempts and Mariota went for 61 yards on 7 carries.

Jackson is averaging over 9 rush attempts per game on the season.

With Tampa’s ability to defend pass Jackson will have to make some plays with his legs Thursday night, so take over 61.5 rush yards.

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Rob O'Connor

Rob O’Connor is a veteran sports handicapper. He broke into the industry in 2002 and has continued to provide his clients with high quality sports handicapping advice ever since. He is currently a handicapper with Rob Veno Sports and prior to that ran his own sports handicapping service. Rob has been featured on ESPN Radio as well as on his hometown sports station WIP out of Philadelphia. Rob O'Connor handicaps the NFL, College Football, College Basketball, and Major League Baseball.