The NFL playoffs are finally HERE, and we've got a juicy slate of games coming up this weekend.
We went 2-0-1 on our NFL Week 18 picks last week, bringing our best bets season record to 68-49-1 (58.1%), and our picks of the week are 21-12 (63.6%).
Let's see if we can keep it rolling with 3 picks for the NFL Wild Card round.
Be sure to compare the lines and odds before placing your bets to find the best deal currently available.
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NFL Wild Card Round Best Bets
NFL Pick of the Week: Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 43.5 – Saturday, 8:00 pm ET on Amazon Prime
These two division rivals will meet for a third time this season on Saturday night in the Wild Card round.
These teams are very familiar with each other, and 8 of the last 10 games between these two teams have gone under the total.
The Steelers have been struggling on offense during their 4-game losing streak, averaging just over 14 points per game during that stretch.
The Steelers rely heavily on the run game, as they have one of the worst passing offenses in the NFL. Unfortunately for them, Baltimore ranks first against the run, allowing just over 80 yards per game on the ground.
That will make it tough for the Steelers to move the ball quickly and score points, but they are going to have to stick with the run to try and control the clock and keep the high-powered Ravens offense off the field.
The Steelers have relied on their defense all year to keep themselves in games, and Saturday night will be no exception. The Steelers are second in the NFL in turnover margin at +16.
The wind could also be a factor, with gusts over 25 mph expected throughout the game, which could cause some disruptions in both the passing and kicking games.
Look for this one to stay UNDER 43.5 on Saturday night.
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Buffalo Bills -8.5 vs. Denver Broncos – Sunday, 1 pm ET on CBS
The Broncos may be a 10-win team, but their track record is far from impressive.
They only beat two teams with a winning record all year—Tampa Bay and Kansas City—and the Chiefs played their backups last week when the Broncos beat them. So, throwing that game out, the combined record of the opponents the Broncos beat this year is 48-88.
The Bills, meanwhile, have been very good at home this year, going undefeated and winning on average by over 17 points per game.
This is not a good spot for rookie QB Bo Nix, who, while he has exceeded expectations this year, is still making his first career playoff start on the road against a very experienced Bills team.
Josh Allen should have success throwing the ball against a Broncos team that is good against the run but struggles against the pass.
Look for the Bills to win comfortably and cover Sunday.
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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Green Bay Packers UNDER 45.5 – Sunday, 4:30 pm ET on FOX
The Eagles will get Jalen Hurts back from a concussion on Sunday, but it will have been three weeks between games for him, so there will be a rust factor, and it may take him a while to get going.
Look for the Eagles to lean on their star running back Saquon Barkley, who will have to work hard for his yards against the 7th-ranked Packers run defense.
Both teams have great defenses. The Eagles are first in the league, allowing just 278.4 yards per game. The Packers have the 6th-ranked defense, allowing just 315.6 yards per game.
On offense, the Packers have some injury concerns with QB Jordan Love, who is dealing with an elbow injury that could impact his performance Sunday. They also lost WR Christian Watson to a torn ACL, so there will be fewer weapons to work with in the passing game.
That will cause the heavy workload to fall to RB Josh Jacobs, who, like Barkley, will have to work for his yards against an Eagles defense that is 10th against the run.
Between the injury concerns with Green Bay, the long layoff for Eagles QB Jalen Hurts, and two strong defenses, expect this one to stay UNDER 45.5 on Sunday afternoon.
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