College Football Championship Weekend Picks – Saturday Best Bets

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It's College Football Championship Weekend and we've got an amazing slate of matchups including conference championships and games with playoff implications.

As always, our experts have made their 7 best bets for this momentous weekend, including spread and total bets to keep you ahead of the game.

Remember, you can always compare college football lines and odds by sportsbooks here. You can also see all of our current and past college football betting picks here.

Best College Football Championship Weekend Picks

Georgia vs. Alabama OVER 54.5 – 4 pm ET

Kyler Wolff
Kyler Wolff

Kyler Wolff is a sports writer with a passion for football & statistical analysis. He uses his knowledge of the game and ability to break down stats to make the best picks.

This is going to be a competitive game. Both teams play at the highest level of college football and are able to score against even the best defenses in the country.

Both are also known for their defenses, especially Georgia, who has only given up 15.8 points per game this season. But if we've seen anything during this late-season push, it is that good teams can find ways into the endzone late in close games and turn games into shootouts.

Alabama may not be an obvious playoff contender like in past years, but they are still a dominant force that has rolled over all of their competition outside of their loss to Texas and a few slim wins, including last week's Iron Bowl.

Alabama has scored 35.6 points per game this season on the back of Jalen Milroe, Jase McClellan, Jermaine Burton, and the rest of their offensive playmakers. I wouldn't be surprised if they go into the fourth quarter with 20 points and end up scoring close to 40.

Georgia has also dominated their opponents to an extent even beyond what Alabama has done. Unlike the Crimson Tide, the Bulldogs have managed to avoid taking a loss this season and have beaten every team they've played by a touchdown or more. They've scored an impressive 39.6 points per game this season on nearly 500 yards per game and 25.5 first downs.

I expect both offenses to be on point and for them to squeeze the defenses late, pushing the total score over 54.5 at some point late in the 4th quarter.

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Florida State -1.5 vs. Louisville – 8 pm ET

Rob O'Connor
Rob O'Connor

Rob O’Connor is a veteran sports handicapper. He broke into the industry in 2002 and has continued to provide high quality sports handicapping advice ever since.

Florida State continues to adjust to life without star QB Jordan Travis.

Backup QB Tate Rodemaker now has a full game under his belt and an additional week of practice to get ready for Louisville. While he got off to a slow start against Florida, he was able to settle in and help lead the Seminoles to a win against their in-state rivals.

That is more than Louisville can say, as they are coming off a loss at home to in-state rival Kentucky.

Florida State has to like their position in the playoff standings and feel relatively confident that, with a win on Saturday night, they will be one of the 4 best teams for a playoff spot come Sunday.

Florida State will rely on their defense which ranks 11th in the nation, giving up under 17 points per game to help them win this one.

On the other side of the ball, look for them to be able to score some points against a Louisville defense that has struggled in recent weeks. Over their last 3 games they are giving up 403 yards and 31 points per game.

This line has dropped under the key number of 3, and with a likely lower scoring game on tap, Florida State won’t need to score too many points to get the win.

Look for the Florida State defense to lead the way and the offense to be able to do enough against a struggling Louisville defense to get the win and cover and to keep their playoff hopes alive on Saturday night.

>> Use our College Football Odds Comparison Tool to find the best lines & odds for this game

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Oregon -9 vs. Washington – 8 pm ET

Rob O'Connor
Rob O'Connor

Rob O’Connor is a veteran sports handicapper. He broke into the industry in 2002 and has continued to provide high quality sports handicapping advice ever since.

The Pac-12 Championship gives us a rematch of a game earlier this season that was won by Washington 39-36 in Washington thanks to some very questionable coaching decisions from Oregon coach Dan Lanning.

Now Oregon gets a rematch with the possibility of a playoff bid hanging in the balance.

Oregon QB Bo Nix is in the running for the Heisman and will have the stage to himself to make a statement on Friday night.

Oregon is slightly better offensively, averaging 541.1 yards and 45.3 points per game compared to Washington who averages 468.1 yards and 38 points per game.

Where Oregon has the bigger advantage is on defense. They are allowing just 15.9 points and 306.9 yards per game. Washington is giving up nearly 400 yards and 23 points per game. Washington actually has the 10th-worst pass defense in all of college football, allowing 265.2 yards per game.

Look for Bo Nix to take advantage of that and put up some big numbers for his Heisman chances and Oregon’s playoff chances.

Oregon is 9-2-1 ATS this year, while Washington is just 5-6-1 ATS.

Oregon needs an impressive win to position themselves as one of the best one-loss teams worthy of a playoff spot, pending how some of the other games play out on Saturday. With all eyes on them Friday night, look for them to get big revenge for their only loss of the season, run up the score and show they belong in the playoff.

Lay 9 points with Oregon on Friday night.

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Iowa +22.5 vs. Michigan – 8 pm ET

Kyler Wolff
Kyler Wolff

Kyler Wolff is a sports writer with a passion for football & statistical analysis. He uses his knowledge of the game and ability to break down stats to make the best picks.

I know it doesn't feel like it, but this is, in fact, a championship game, and Iowa has a chance (albeit a very slim chance) at winning the Big 10 and throwing a major wrench into the College Football Playoffs.

Not a lot of people are giving Iowa much of a shot, but I think we need to remember that Michigan is not the unstoppable force that it looked like a month ago. Michigan won their first 9 games without any problem, winning each by no less than 24 points and an average of 33.7 points per game, but they've struggled to hit those marks over their last 3 games.

Michigan beat Penn State by only 9, then Maryland by only 7, followed by last week's win against Ohio State by just 6 points. These 3 games have shown Iowa the formula to keeping Michigan close and giving themselves a chance to win late in the game.

I'm not too concerned that Iowa will allow the Wolverines to score at will. Iowa's defense has been historically good, allowing only 12.2 points per game over the course of the season and only 8 points per game over the last 6 games. Their high water mark for points given up was 31 against Penn State, who are essentially the same as the Wolverines when it comes to scoring (37.2 ppg and 37.6 ppg, respectively).

The only question when it comes to whether or not the Hawkeyes will be able to stay within 23 points of Michigan in this game is Iowa's offensive production. They've only put up 18 points per game this season, but given that this is a championship, I think Iowa is going to draw up a golden offensive script and put up at least 2 touchdowns.

Iowa should hang around in this game and I don't think it's going to be the 3-touchdown blowout that Vegas is projecting.

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3 Bets: Iowa +22.5, Iowa 1H Team Total Over 0.5, & Iowa 2H Team Total Over 0.5 vs. Michigan – 8 pm ET

Rob O'Connor
Rob O'Connor

Rob O’Connor is a veteran sports handicapper. He broke into the industry in 2002 and has continued to provide high quality sports handicapping advice ever since.

Michigan played their Super Bowl of sorts last week against Ohio State and got the big win and cover 30-24 at home.

Now they head in to the Big Ten Championship game against a not so good Iowa offense. But the Iowa defense is really good and should be able to keep them in this game. With a low scoring game projected (the total is only 34.5), Iowa’s offense doesn’t need to score too much to cover this number.

Taking a deeper look at Michigan, they played against a lot of bad teams this year. In fact, they only have 2 wins over ranked opponents all season (Ohio State and Penn State) and in those games they won by 6 and 9 points, respectively, so they are not exactly blowing up tougher competition this year.

Look for Iowa to score enough to keep this within in the number. Their defense will not disappoint and will keep the Michigan offense in check.

Also look to play Iowa team total over 0.5 points in both halves at around -120. Iowa has only been shut out in a half 4 times all season, so while the offense is bad, they usually manage to find a FG or touchdown at some point each half.

The past 2 weeks the Michigan defense has shown they can give up some yards and points as they have given up 24 points in back to back weeks.

>> Use our College Football Odds Comparison Tool to find the best lines & odds for this game

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