College Football Week 13 Picks – Saturday Best Bets

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Rivalry Week is here and we've got a mouth-watering slate of college football games.

As always, our team of experts have made their best bets for NCAAF Week 13, including spread and total bets.

Remember, you can always compare college football lines and odds by sportsbooks here. You can also see all of our current and past college football betting picks here.

Best College Football Week 13 Picks

Auburn +14.5 vs. Alabama – 3:30 pm ET

Rob O'Connor
Rob O'Connor

Rob O’Connor is a veteran sports handicapper. He broke into the industry in 2002 and has continued to provide high quality sports handicapping advice ever since.

This is a case of getting some value on Auburn after an absolutely embarrassing loss at home to New Mexico State last week. Despite that loss, Auburn will most certainly be ready for their biggest game of the year against in-state rival Alabama.

Alabama has the SEC Championship game on deck against Georgia and, while you would think they would not overlook a rivalry game against Auburn, Alabama is well aware of how bad Auburn played last week and they could easily start to look past them to the SEC Championship game.

Auburn has been a tough out at home in SEC play this season. They lost to Georgia and Ole Miss by only a touchdown each. The line in the Georgia game was also -14.5 and Alabama and Georgia are clearly not equal teams, as the look ahead number to the SEC Championship game has Georgia favored by 4, which means this line should be more around Alabama -10.5 as opposed to -14.5.

Only once in the last 5 meetings at Auburn has Alabama won by more than 2 touchdowns. Last time these teams played in Auburn, Alabama won by 2 points in 4 overtimes as a 20-point favorite.

Look for another close game in a rivalry game where records can be thrown out the window. Play Auburn +14.5 on Saturday afternoon.

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Ohio State +3.5 @ Michigan – 12 pm ET

Kyler Wolff
Kyler Wolff

Kyler Wolff is a sports writer with a passion for football & statistical analysis. He uses his knowledge of the game and ability to break down stats to make the best picks.

Let's be clear: this game is not, in fact, the Big 10 Championship, but you'd be forgiven for thinking that given the stakes of this game and the fact that these teams are by far the best in the conference and are both undefeated. 

This game is technically more akin to a semifinal game, with the winner clinching a spot in the actual championship game against Iowa. Still, it will undoubtedly have a championship-type feel. 

Whoever wins this game will almost certainly make the College Football Playoffs, and the other will likely be on the outside looking in. With the stakes as high as they are, I expect both teams to bring their A-games and for this to be a tight, well-played, and ferocious game that could end up being an instant classic.

Michigan is the favorite despite Ohio State being ranked higher than Michigan. Michigan is ranked as the 3rd-best team in the country, while Ohio State is ranked as the 2nd-best team. 

In reality, Michigan has better offensive and defensive numbers, but last week's slim win by the Wolverines over Maryland may have exposed a little bit of weakness for Michigan amidst cheating allegations and scandals that have rocked the big house over the past month or two. That probably prompted their ranking to fall to 3, and that is why I think there is little chance for Michigan to run away with this.

Their game last week proved to me that Michigan wasn't some unstoppable force that's going to roll over the next-best teams in the league; it was like watching Superman bleed. 

Ohio State hasn't been as dominant in their wins as Michigan, but they have also managed to go undefeated to this point, playing excellent and consistent football all season. They also have an X-factor in Marvin Harrison Jr., who is a legit Heisman candidate and potentially the best college receiver we've seen in years. 

Even if Michigan manages to win this game, I don't think it will be by more than a field goal. Take Ohio State +3.5.

 

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Florida State @ Florida UNDER 49.5 – 7 pm ET

Rob O'Connor
Rob O'Connor

Rob O’Connor is a veteran sports handicapper. He broke into the industry in 2002 and has continued to provide high quality sports handicapping advice ever since.

This is a rivalry game that will feature backup quarterbacks for both teams after Florida State lost Jordan Travis and Florida lost Graham Mertz to injuries last week.

Florida will turn to QB Max Brown, who will be facing a Florida State defense that ranks 12th in the nation, allowing just 16.9 points per game.

In order to take some of the pressure off of Brown, Florida will most certainly focus on the run game. If there is a weakness in the Florida State defense, it is against the run where they allow nearly 140 yards per game on the ground. That will most certainly mean a bigger workload for Florida running backs Montrell Johnson and Trevor Etienne. And a running offense keeps the clock moving.

Look for the Florida State defense to key in on the run and force Brown to make some plays, which will be a challenge for the inexperienced quarterback.

As for the Florida State offense, their backup quarterback is 4th-year player Tate Rodemaker. Despite this being his 4th year he is quite inexperienced with only 93 career pass attempts.

So look for Florida State to rely on their run game as well and not ask Rodemaker to do too much. With a game next week for the ACC title, don’t look for Florida State to open the playbook to avoid giving Louisville too much tape on Rodemaker.

Given the uncertainty both offenses will have Saturday night, play the UNDER in what will be a hard-fought rivalry game.

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Texas A&M @ LSU OVER 66 – 12 pm ET

Kyler Wolff
Kyler Wolff

Kyler Wolff is a sports writer with a passion for football & statistical analysis. He uses his knowledge of the game and ability to break down stats to make the best picks.

66 points is a high mark to hit, but LSU games have been hitting the Over on just about every game this season. In fact, their only game that has gone under the total target was last week's contest against Georgia State in which they fell only 4 points shy of a sky-high 74-point total.

The truth is that LSU plays loose football. Their offense is led by their electric duo of Jayden Daniels and Malik Nabers. On defense, they allow a pretty remarkable average of 27.5 points per game, so they are perfectly designed to play in high-scoring games.

Texas A&M doesn't have nearly as many overs on their record as LSU but don't underestimate their potential scoring contribution to this game. They've scored 34 points per game this season and have continued to be an offensive force even after the mid-season changeups at coach and QB.

Their team is littered with playmaking talent, and they should be able to take advantage of LSU's loose defense. Ainias Smith, Evan Stewart, Jahdae Walker, and Noah Thomas make up a scary wide receiver corps for the Aggies, and you could argue that their WR room is actually the second-best receiver group in this game.

Both of these offenses have talent all around, and neither team is particularly stout on defense either. The over seems like a solid play for this Saturday.

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South Florida -6 vs. Charlotte – 7:30 pm ET

Rob O'Connor
Rob O'Connor

Rob O’Connor is a veteran sports handicapper. He broke into the industry in 2002 and has continued to provide high quality sports handicapping advice ever since.

South Florida sits at 5-6 with a ton of motivation to get win number 6 on the season and clinch a bowl berth.

To do so, they will have to beat a Charlotte team that has not been very good this season. They are just 3-8 on the year with their only conference wins coming against 2-9 East Carolina and 3-8 Tulsa. Charlotte’s 5 conference losses have come by an average of 16.2 points per game.

Charlotte has one of the worst offenses in all of college football, averaging under 315 yards per game and only 17.8 points per game. Their offense deficiencies will help a South Florida defense that is flat-out bad allowing nearly 470 yards per game.

But the South Florida offense will have no trouble scoring against the Charlotte defense. The South Florida offense averages 451 yards and 29.3 points per game.

It does not seem likely that Charlotte will be able to keep up with USF in this one, take South Florida to get the win by at least a touchdown and clinch a bowl bid Saturday night.

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