NFL Week 11 Opening Line Betting Picks

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We went 1-1 on our opening line picks last week after the Ravens blew a 14-point lead in the 4th quarter to hand us a loss.

We're back at it this week with two more opening line picks to make now before the lines move. We've got one spread bet and one total bet on deck this week.

You can see all of our current and historical NFL picks in our Best NFL Bets & Picks Guide. You can also compare NFL lines and odds by sportsbooks here.

Cleveland Browns -3.5 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers – 1 pm ET

The Steelers may be the most overrated 6-3 team in the NFL. Despite their winning record, they’ve been statistically dominated by their opponents this season. They’ve been outgained in yards in every single game this season.

The Steelers offense ranks 28th in yards per game, putting up just 283.6. Defensively they rank 29th in yards allowed per game, giving up 379.7.

They will now face off against a Cleveland Browns team that they beat back in Week 2 26-22 thanks to two defensive touchdowns. The Browns outgained the Steelers in the game 408 yards to 255 yards.

The Browns have the momentum on their side after a great come-from-behind 33-31 win over the Ravens last weekend. It keeps the Browns right in the hunt for the AFC North Title.

The Browns have one of the best defenses in the league, ranking 1st in yards allowed per game giving up just 242.7.

Look for the already struggling Steelers offense to have a hard time getting points Sunday. The Browns offense is firing on all cylinders at the moment, averaging 29.75 points over their last 4 games.

Look for the Browns to get revenge for their Week 2 loss and grab a win and cover Sunday afternoon.


Arizona Cardinals @ Houston Texans OVER 47.5 – 1 pm ET

The Houston Texans, led by rookie QB CJ Stroud, have been one of the more pleasant surprises during the first half of the NFL season. Their offense ranks 6th in yards per game, putting up 372.6, on average.

The Arizona Cardinals welcomed back star QB Kyler Murray last week as he finally returned from his ACL injury. He led the Cardinals to a 25-23 win over the Falcons and led his team to 352 yards of offense.

Their offense should continue to improve as Murray gets back into game form with continued reps at practice.

Neither of these teams is strong defensively. The Texans rank 21st giving up 340 yards per game and the Cardinals rank 22nd giving up 342.6.

This total opened at 46.5 and already jumped 2 points on some books. It will probably go even higher before kickoff.

Look for this one to be a bit of a shootout and grab the OVER 47.5 on Sunday afternoon, if you can find it. OVER 48.5 is still a good play if you catch this pick after the line moves.


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Rob O'Connor

Rob O’Connor is a veteran sports handicapper. He broke into the industry in 2002 and has continued to provide his clients with high quality sports handicapping advice ever since. He is currently a handicapper with Rob Veno Sports and prior to that ran his own sports handicapping service. Rob has been featured on ESPN Radio as well as on his hometown sports station WIP out of Philadelphia. Rob O'Connor handicaps the NFL, College Football, College Basketball, and Major League Baseball.