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Last week had its ups and downs, but we're shaking it off, and coming back stronger for Week 8.
There are some great games on the docket with lots of potential for value. We've been pouring over the opening lines, searching for the best bets to make now before they move as we get closer to game day.
Sportsbooks started rolling out lines for Week 8 as soon as the Sunday games wrapped up, and we’ve honed in on two early picks that are too good to pass up.
You can see all of our current and historical NFL picks in our Best NFL Bets & Picks Guide. You can also compare NFL lines and odds by sportsbooks here.
Denver Broncos +8.5 vs. Kansas City Chiefs – 4:25 pm ET
The Broncos come into this one off a hard-fought 19-17 win against the Green Bay Packers. Their defense has shown significant improvement since getting torched for 70 points by the Dolphins earlier this season.
These two teams met just a few weeks ago in Kansas City, with the Broncos hanging tough in a 19-8 loss.
The Broncos have played the Chiefs tough recently, going 3-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last 5 matchups. They also have a 3-2 ATS record in their last five games as underdogs.
When these two teams meet in Denver, the games tend to be close, with the Chiefs winning by just four and six points in their last two matchups at Mile High.
Offensively, the mismatch is not as big as you would think. The Chiefs are averaging 25.4 points per game, while the Broncos are not far behind with 21.1 points per game.
However, Patrick Mahomes has been having trouble with interceptions, throwing another one last week against the Chargers and bringing his total up to six INTs in seven games this year. Additionally, the Chiefs haven’t won any of their three road games by more than eight points this season.
Look for this to be another close game between division rivals and grab the Broncos +8.5.
Buffalo Bills -8.5 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 8:15 pm ET
This is a game where the Bills right the ship in a big way and take advantage of a weak opponent traveling into Buffalo to play on a short week.
The Bills are coming off a tough loss to rival New England last week, losing on a touchdown in the final seconds. This was after a strong comeback where they took the lead, having trailed for most of the game.
The Buccaneers, on the other hand, have had their share of struggles on offense, which is concerning when going up against a Bills team known for putting points on the board. Tampa has dropped 3 of their last 4 games and is only averaging 14 points per game during that span.
When it comes to offensive stats, the Bills are ranked sixth in yards per game with 369.4, and third in points per game with 28.3. The Buccaneers lag behind, averaging less than 300 yards per game and are ranked 23rd in the league.
While the teams are relatively matched defensively, the Bills offense will be too much for Tampa to handle, and their offense won’t be able to match the Bills score for score.
Take Buffalo -8.5 and look for them to win comfortably on Thursday night.
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