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The NFL playoffs are here, and we've got a mouth-watering slate of games coming up this weekend.
NFL Super Wild Card Weekend includes two games on Saturday, three games on Sunday, and one on Monday night.
If you're not sure who to bet, our team of experts has you covered with their six best bets to make for the Wild Card round.
Remember, you can always compare NFL lines and odds at all major online sportsbooks here.
NFL Wild Card Weekend Best Bets
- Cleveland Browns -2 @ Houston Texans – Saturday, 4:30 pm ET
- Houston Texans vs. Cleveland Browns OVER 44.5 – Saturday, 4:30 pm ET
- Green Bay Packers @ Dallas Cowboys OVER 50.5 – Sunday, 4:30 pm ET
- Dallas Cowboys -7 vs. Green Bay Packers – Sunday, 4:30 pm ET
- Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 44 – Monday, 8 pm ET
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 vs Philadelphia Eagles – Monday, 8:15 pm ET
Cleveland Browns -2 @ Houston Texans – Saturday, 4:30 pm ET
Kyler Wolff is a sports writer with a passion for football & statistical analysis. He uses his knowledge of the game and ability to break down stats to make the best picks.
The Texans are a very talented team, but they're young and inexperienced in the postseason.
C.J. Stroud threw for over 4,000 yards, had a 23-5 TD-to-INT ratio, and had the 5th-best passer rating for QBs with 10+ starts, and yet I just don't see him overcoming the Browns' defense in the playoffs when the pressure is truly on—not at this point in his career.
Stroud will also have to contend without his full arsenal of weapons fully healthy, with Tank Dell out and both Noah Brown and Robert Woods being questionable for Saturday.
The Browns' defense is the best in the league at stymieing opposing offenses, allowing only 270 yards per game. They are the fifth-best in the league at taking the ball away and have only allowed 29.1% of their opponents' third downs to be converted.
You can go on and on about the Browns' defense, but the difference maker in this game will be their offense. The new-and-improved Browns’ offense has been a sight to behold. With the miraculous re-emergence of Joe Flacco, the Browns might have the hottest offense coming into the playoffs. They rested their starters for Week 18, but before that, they had 4 games in a row with 300+ yards passing.
One of the games that Joe Flacco won down the stretch when the Browns rode a 4-game win streak to the playoffs was coincidentally against the Texans. In that game, the Texans were notably missing their star rookie QB, but it showed us what to expect from Joe Flacco and the offense against these Texans’ defenders, and what C.J. Stroud needs to do to beat them.
In the end, I don't expect Stroud to make up the 14-point gap we saw in their first matchup. The Browns should win handily.
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Houston Texans vs. Cleveland Browns OVER 44.5 – Saturday, 4:30 pm ET
Rob O’Connor is a veteran sports handicapper. He broke into the industry in 2002 and has continued to provide high quality sports handicapping advice ever since.
The Texans and Browns will meet in Houston on Saturday afternoon to kick off the 2024 NFL Playoffs, and I expect points to be plentiful in this one.
The Browns are a completely different team on the road defensively than they are at home. It’s almost as if they leave the defense back in Cleveland. They have given up an average of 29.6 points per game on the road this season, compared to just 13.9 points per game at home.
You could start to see cracks in the Browns’ defense, including at home, towards the end of the season. Over their last 7 games overall, they allowed 26 points per game.
On the other side of the ball, the Browns’ offense has found success with the midseason addition of QB Joe Flacco. They averaged 28.6 points in the 5 games Flacco started before being rested last week with the Browns locked into the #5 seed.
Flacco should have continued success against the Texans’ pass defense which ranks 23rd in the league.
The Texans have been great on offense under the leadership of rookie QB C.J. Stroud, especially at home where they averaged 24.5 points per game this season.
These teams met earlier this year in Houston, with the Browns coming out on top 36-22.
While the result may not be exactly the same, I would expect a similar number of points to be scored. Play this one OVER 44.5 on Saturday afternoon.
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Green Bay Packers @ Dallas Cowboys OVER 50.5 – Sunday, 4:30 pm ET
Kyler Wolff is a sports writer with a passion for football & statistical analysis. He uses his knowledge of the game and ability to break down stats to make the best picks.
The Packers played in a low-scoring game last week, but in the previous 5 games before that, they had averaged 27 points per game. There has been a clear improvement on the offensive side of the ball as the season has progressed, leading to more high-scoring games recently.
The Packers have only had 5 games that have gone over 50 points this season, but 3 of them have been in the last 7 games of the season, and 2 of them came in the previous 3 games. The Packers' game management has shifted to a more liberal and high-scoring approach.
The Cowboys certainly can score, as well, putting up 29.9 points per game overall (best in the league this season) and 37.4 points per game at home. This game should be no different and I fully expect the Packers to keep up at least enough to stay in the game until the 4th quarter.
Both teams have enough firepower to propel this game over 51 points easily; the question will be on their defenses if they can stop them. The stats suggest their defenses are top tier, but their tape against top offenses suggests something different.
I think the offenses will roll over the defenses in this one and go Over 50.5.
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Dallas Cowboys -7 vs. Green Bay Packers – Sunday, 4:30 pm ET
Rob O’Connor is a veteran sports handicapper. He broke into the industry in 2002 and has continued to provide high quality sports handicapping advice ever since.
The Cowboys have been a completely different team at home this year than they’ve been on the road, and I expect them to find success against Green Bay on Sunday afternoon.
The Cowboys are 8-0 on the season at home and have won those games by an average of 21.5 points.
The Packers have been inconsistent all year and had to win their last 3 games to secure the final playoff spot in the NFC. However, those 3 wins came against Carolina, Minnesota, and Chicago—all teams out of the playoff picture.
Meanwhile, the Cowboys hung tough and managed to overtake the Eagles and grab the #2 seed in the NFC. This included wins down the stretch against Philadelphia and Detroit.
Statistically, the Cowboys are better on both sides of the ball. The biggest advantage will be the Dallas offense against the Green Bay defense. Dallas is averaging nearly 30 points per game and even more at home, where they average over 37 points per game.
The Cowboys' defense is a bit of a question mark, but they have shown the ability to shut down good offensive teams including holding the Lions to just 19 points and the Eagles to 13 points at home.
The Packers’ offense does not have the firepower to keep up with the Cowboys. Look for Dallas to win this comfortably on Sunday afternoon.
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Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 44 – Monday, 8 pm ET
Kyler Wolff is a sports writer with a passion for football & statistical analysis. He uses his knowledge of the game and ability to break down stats to make the best picks.
The Eagles have completely imploded over the last third of the season and came limping into the playoffs with sloppy offensive play and an ineffective defense.
They have a -59 point differential in their last 6 games compared to +26 in the 6 games before their collapse.
While their defense has been bad, what is truly disappointing has been their offense, which has only averaged 20.5 points per game during their past 6 games compared to 27.7 points per game before that. They've hit an offensive rut and will need to work their way out of it quickly if they want to win this one.
The Buccaneers offense has also found themselves in an offensive rough patch, scoring just 9 points last week against the Panthers and only 13 the week before against the Saints.
Before that stretch, they had a 4-game win streak where they averaged 28.5 points per game, but the team we saw then and the team we've seen the last few weeks couldn't be farther apart offensively.
The Bucs' defense has still stood strong as they have all season, where they only gave up 19.1 points per game. They have one of the most underrated defenses in the league, with a mix of young and emerging stars as well as talented veterans who have been able to put together a very solid season together.
I have a very strong feeling that this will be one of those games where you are waiting for one of the offenses to find a rhythm and break through what will otherwise be a defense-dominated game. Both teams are coming into the game struggling to get something started on that side of the ball. I expect that to continue for at least the majority of the first half (maybe longer) until one of these teams (my bet is on the Eagles) gets a big play and can turn that into momentum and revive their dead offense, I
Once one of the teams clicks on offense, they can ride that wave to a victory, but it will probably be too late for them to rally to beat the Over, so I’m taking the Under.
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Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 44 – Monday, 8 pm ET
Rob O’Connor is a veteran sports handicapper. He broke into the industry in 2002 and has continued to provide high quality sports handicapping advice ever since.
The Eagles’ season really went off the rails after a 10-1 start. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games including games to some really bad teams in the Giants and the Cardinals. To make matters worse, there has been dysfunction on both sides of the ball.
The Eagles have done everything to try and right the ship, including making a change at defense coordinator, which has not produced any better results.
Offensively, the Eagles are very banged up with Jalen Hurts dealing with a finger injury on his throwing hand and star WRs AJ Brown (knee) and DeVonta Smith (ankle) dealing with injuries.
The Eagles are simply not the same team that won quite comfortably in Tampa earlier this season.
Look for Tampa to take advantage of the Eagles’ struggles, especially against the pass. I expect WRs Mike Evans and Chris Godwin to make some big plays against an Eagles’ pass defense that ranks 31st, giving up over 252 yards per game.
The Eagles’ offense struggles mightily on the road compared to at home. On the road, they are putting up just 20.7 points per game, and it has only gotten worse as the season has gone along. They are only averaging 15.25 points in their last 4 road games.
While there is always a chance the Eagles manage to find their early season form, it seems unlikely. Tampa should be in this game throughout and an outright upset would not surprise me—grab the Bucs +3 on Monday night.
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