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We're already entering Week 3 of the NFL season and our team of experts is back with 4 picks to make on Sunday.
Below you'll find our picks for the best NFL bets to make on Sunday (9/24) for Week 3 of the 2023 NFL season. Remember, you can always compare NFL lines and odds by sportsbooks here.
Best NFL Week 3 Betting Picks
Tennessee Titans @ Cleveland Browns UNDER 40 – 1 pm ET
Kyler Wolff is a sports writer with a passion for football & statistical analysis. He uses his knowledge of the game and ability to break down stats to make the best picks.
Despite the Browns' floundering offense that has put into question the future of Deshaun Watson on the team, the Browns' defense has been the real story for this franchise. With their dominant performance in Week 1 against the Bengals, where they gave up only 3 points, and a follow-up performance in Week 2, in which they only gave up 13 offensive points (the Steelers' defense accounted for half of Pittsburgh's scoring), Cleveland has one of the best defenses in the league.
Pair the Browns' overpowering defense—with their lackluster offense that now must live without star RB Nick Chubb, who usually accounts for 40% of their offensive production—it's easy to see why I like the under for most of the Brown's games going forward.
This is especially true when they are playing a run-first offense like the Titans, with their Jeffery Simmons-led defense that has held opposing offenses to just 20 points a game this season.
Tannehill has 1 touchdown and 3 picks this season, and with the Browns defense bearing down on him, I don't see him miraculously turning it around in this one. Between him and Deshaun Watson, I don't expect many passing touchdowns. Perhaps Derrick Henry or Cleveland's backup running backs could score once or twice, but in terms of scoring, expect it to be a field goal battle.
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Indianapolis Colts +8.5 @ Baltimore Ravens – 1 pm ET
Rob O’Connor is a veteran sports handicapper. He broke into the industry in 2002 and has continued to provide high quality sports handicapping advice ever since.
The Indianapolis Colts do have some injury concerns heading in to this one with QB Anthony Richardson and center Ryan Kelly in concussion protocol, but there is a chance both could be cleared before Sunday. Even if Richardson can’t go, backup Gardner Minshew is more than capable of leading the Colts offense.
The Colts have played well to start the season. Against Jacksonville in the opener, they had the lead until midway through the 4th quarter before eventually losing and last week they jumped in front of the Texans early and were up 21 points heading in to the 4th quarter.
This is a bad scheduling spot for the Ravens. They are off a tough road division win against the Bengals last week (27-24) and have two more division road games on deck after the Colts game against the Browns and Steelers. So there is a good chance the Ravens will not have their A game on Sunday.
The Ravens also have a ton of injury issues on the offensive side of the ball along the offensive line and at running back where they are already without JK Dobbins for the season.
The Colts and Ravens don’t meet often, but the Colts have had the Ravens number over the years, going 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, including a 6 point Colts loss in Baltimore just two years ago.
Look for the Colts to keep this a one-score game and grab them +8.5 on Sunday.
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Atlanta Falcons Moneyline (+146) @ Detroit Lions – 1 pm ET
Kyler Wolff is a sports writer with a passion for football & statistical analysis. He uses his knowledge of the game and ability to break down stats to make the best picks.
The Falcons have shown flashes of excellence this season, particularly when Bijan Robinson gets the ball in his hands. The Lions have also had great points this season, especially in Week 1 when they beat the Super Bowl Champions Kansas City Chiefs.
This game is actually one of the more evenly matched games of the week, and I expect it to come down to the wire.
The Falcons have managed to win both of their first two games (24-10 against the Panthers and 25-24 against the Packers) and are on their way to a decent season buoyed by Bijan Robinson and a new, fast, and explosive defense. They are my pick to win the NFC South and have the talent to win on any given Sunday against any given team.
The Lions fit the description of “any given team.” They caught the league by surprise with a big win over Kansas City in the season opener but fell to Geno Smith and the Seahawks' great passing offense last week.
The Lions' X factor on offense is Amon Ra St. Brown, who can go off for a huge game at any time but has been limited this week in practice with a knee injury along with other key offensive performers. They also lost C.J. Gardner Johnson to the injured reserve, who has been a key defensive piece for them.
The Falcons have very few injuries and should be ready to upset the Lions in Detroit this week.
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Chicago Bears @ Kansas City Chiefs OVER 48 – 4:25 pm ET
Rob O’Connor is a veteran sports handicapper. He broke into the industry in 2002 and has continued to provide high quality sports handicapping advice ever since.
The Chicago Bears are a team in complete disarray, especially on the defensive side of the ball where they just lost their defense coordinator. The Bears have allowed at least 25 points in 12 consecutive games. They have given up 33 points per game over those 12 games.
Now they have to face off against the explosive Kansas City Chiefs offense that has been kept in check for two consecutive weeks to open the season.
This is the exact matchup the Chiefs need to get back on track. The Chiefs led the league in both yards and points per game last season, so they clearly have the ability to put up points despite scoring just 37 points in their opening two games of the season.
Offensively, the Bears have been out of synch, but Justin Fields is still capable of making some big plays with his feet and they also have a strong running game to rely on as well, so they will get some points as well. It won’t be enough to keep up with the Chiefs, but will be enough to send the game OVER 48 points.
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