Chicago Bears @ New England Patriots – Week 7 MNF Picks & Betting Preview (2022-23 Season)

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In the Chicago Bears’ 102-year existence, there’s one team this NFL-founding franchise has never beaten on the road: the New England Patriots. The Bears will get their chance to change this odd statistic Monday night when the team travels to Foxborough to play the Patriots.

Chicago enters the game 2-4, having lost three straight games. The Bears' offense has been unbearable to watch, scoring a total of 39 points in those three losses.

New England, conversely, expects to have starting QB Mac Jones back for a team that has won two straight games heading into Monday’s contest. Besides finding ways to score in Jones’ absence, the defense has held the previous two opponents to 15 total points in those wins.

Will Chicago win their 803rd game in this franchise’s storied history and claim their first victory on the road against New England? Read on to see our top three picks for this Monday Night Football showdown between the Bears and Patriots.

  • Time: 8:15 pm ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts 
  • Weather: 58°, showers

Pick 1: New England Patriots –7.5

The home team has won six of the first seven Monday Night Football games in 2022. I think New England will make it seven of eight teams after this week’s contest. The concern here is if the Patriots can defeat the Bears by more than a touchdown.

Chicago’s defense against the pass is under-represented as teams have run exceptionally well against the Bears. New England should put this game away by the third quarter and can milk the clock to avoid any last-minute backdoor cover attempts from the Bears.

Pick 2: Chicago-New England UNDER 40.5 Points

The predicted weather for Foxborough Monday is continuous rain throughout the day with upwards of a quarter-inch of rain and 10-15 mph wind gusts. The wet, cold weather favors run-oriented offenses with minimal passing.

The Bears are especially awful against the run, ranking 31st in the NFL. New England will take advantage of this soft run defense. Yet both teams are holding opponents to under 20 points on average, so expect a final score around 27-10 in favor of the Patriots.

Pick 3: Justin Fields OVER 44.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetMGM)

Chicago’s Justin Fields is a dual-threat QB that has rushed for more than 44 yards in each of the previous four contests. In his last outing against Washington, Fields ran 12 times for 88 yards for his best rushing output this season.

Expect the former Ohio State star to continue that this week in sloppy weather conditions. While New England has been worse against the pass this season, the Patriots will not have an answer for Fields’ ability to run.

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